Today’s Chanakya has predicted 155 seats for the BJP-led NDA, while the Grand Alliance led by JD(U) is expected to win only 83 seats. Others are expected to win just 5 seats. Today’s Chanakya has been very accurate in exit poll predictions so far. Will they hit the bull’s eye this time too? It would be interesting to watch.
Unlike other exit poll surveys, Today’s Chanakya has come up with detailed explanation on their exit poll.
* What had an influence in deciding on your voting pattern?
Party & Candidate: 50%, Development & Law/Order: 33%, Other: 6%
* Do you want a change of government in the state?
Yes: 51%; No: 34%
* How will you rate the working of the state government?
Good: 22%, Average: 27%, Poor: 41%
* How will you rate the working of present CM Nitish Kumar?
Good: 30%, Average: 18%, Poor: 38%
* Caste Equation:
Baniya & Brahmin: BJP – 66%, JD(U) – 15%
Bhumihar: BJP 61% – BJP, JD(U)- 23%
Kurmi: BJP – 15%, JD(U) – 71%
Kushwah: BJP – 49% (BJP), JD(U) – 36%
Muslim: BJP – 9%, JD(U) – 85%
SC: BJP – 51%, JD(U) – 36%
Yadav: BJP – 17%, JD(U) – 66%
Rajput: BJP – 69%, JD(U) – 33%
OBC: BJP – 50%, JD(U) – 33%
Voting Pattern in Age Group:
18-25 yrs: BJP – 45%, JD(U) – 38%
26-35 yrs: BJP – 44%, JD(U) – 37%
36-45 yrs: BJP – 45%, JD(U) – 39%
46-55 yrs: BJP – 47%, JD(U) – 40%
56-65 yrs: BJP – 46%, JD(U) – 37%
66+ yrs: BJP – 50%, JD(U) – 34%.